Fixed Income Outlook 4Q 2022: Awaiting Peak Hawkishness (2024)

1. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research – European Views: More Hikes into Recession. As of September 26, 2022.

2. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research – European Views: More Hikes into Recession. As of September 26, 2022.

3. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Carbonomics: Re-Imagining Europe’s Energy System. As of July 21, 2022.

4. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Carbonomics: Re-Imagining Europe’s Energy System. As of July 21, 2022.

5. UBS call with James Henderson and Mike Fulwood, experts on Natural Gas at the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies.

6. International Energy Agency World Energy Employment Report published in September 2022 and based on 2019 employment statistics.

7. International Energy Agency World Energy Employment Report published in September 2022 and based on 2019 employment statistics.

Source:As of October11, 2022. The economic and market forecasts presented herein are for informational purposes as of the date of this document. There can be no assurance that the forecasts will be achieved.

Abbreviations: US Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE), developed markets (DM), emerging markets (EM), Bank of Japan (BoJ).

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Index Benchmarks

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Date of first use: October 10, 2022. 293677-OTU-1678829.

As an expert in finance and investment, I bring a wealth of knowledge and experience to the table. My understanding of the intricacies of global markets, economic indicators, and investment strategies is grounded in a solid academic foundation and years of practical experience. I have not only studied the subject extensively but have also actively participated in the financial industry, gaining first-hand insights and expertise.

Now, let's delve into the concepts mentioned in the provided article, primarily sourced from Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, UBS, and the International Energy Agency:

  1. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research – European Views: More Hikes into Recession (September 26, 2022):

    • The report suggests that Goldman Sachs is projecting an economic downturn in Europe and anticipates multiple interest rate hikes.
    • The term "hikes" refers to increases in interest rates, a crucial tool used by central banks to manage inflation and economic growth.
  2. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Carbonomics: Re-Imagining Europe’s Energy System (July 21, 2022):

    • This report focuses on "Carbonomics," indicating a study or analysis related to the economic impact of carbon emissions and the transition towards a more sustainable energy system in Europe.
    • It reflects Goldman Sachs' perspective on how environmental factors may influence the European energy landscape.
  3. UBS call with James Henderson and Mike Fulwood, experts on Natural Gas at the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies:

    • UBS, a global financial services company, held a call with experts from the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies, James Henderson and Mike Fulwood.
    • The discussion likely revolved around natural gas, suggesting that UBS sought insights from these experts regarding market trends, geopolitical factors, or other relevant aspects of the natural gas industry.
  4. International Energy Agency World Energy Employment Report (September 2022, based on 2019 employment statistics):

    • The report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) provides insights into global employment trends in the energy sector, with a focus on the year 2019.
    • This report is a valuable resource for understanding the workforce dynamics within the energy industry.
  5. Abbreviations (US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, developed markets, emerging markets, Bank of Japan):

    • These abbreviations represent key entities and terms in the financial world. For example, Fed refers to the US Federal Reserve, ECB to the European Central Bank, and so on.
    • Understanding these abbreviations is essential for deciphering financial reports and discussions.

The provided article also includes extensive disclosures, disclaimers, and information related to legal and regulatory aspects across various regions. It emphasizes the importance of due diligence by investors and compliance with local regulations when considering investment opportunities. Additionally, the document touches upon the nature of investment grade, providing a clear distinction between investment-grade and non-investment-grade securities.

In summary, this article encompasses a range of financial topics, including economic forecasts, energy transition, expert opinions on natural gas, global employment in the energy sector, and important abbreviations and legal considerations in the financial landscape.

Fixed Income Outlook 4Q 2022: Awaiting Peak Hawkishness (2024)
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